Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Are Americans increasingly pro-life?

A Gallup poll released on Friday found that, for the first time since Gallup started measuring this in the 1990s, more Americans define themselves as pro-life than pro-choice.

I'm hesitant to believe this, however, because according to the data presented in the article, last year 50% of respondents were pro-choice, and this year only 42% were (with a similar increase among pro-life). I don' t know what could prompt that big a switch. Would a prolife president do it?

The data till this year showed a pretty steady trend, so I wouldn't be surprised if it swung back the next time they ask this question. If not, it would be interesting to speculate about why the change.


Gruntled said...

This survey doesn't really show anyone changing their position. It shows centrists changing whether they call themselves pro-life or pro-choice.

Brad Wright said...

But if we observe change, wouldn't it make sense to see it among the people in the middle? (Like politicians aiming for independents)

Jay Livingston said...

Mark Blumenthal at has a good analysis.

Brad Wright said...

Thanks Jay. I haven't been to Pollster since the election... Kind of forgot about it.