tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37421406.post2554544249580346934..comments2023-09-30T08:20:57.971-04:00Comments on Bradley Wright's Blog: Surprising data: What makes a good NFL coachBrad Wrighthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07800309833079635465noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37421406.post-64718616012095878282010-01-07T21:26:59.482-05:002010-01-07T21:26:59.482-05:00Yes, there are a lot of exceptions. I think that ...Yes, there are a lot of exceptions. I think that the studies were looking at association rather than determination.Brad Wrighthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07800309833079635465noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37421406.post-26645289944908674292010-01-07T14:37:02.802-05:002010-01-07T14:37:02.802-05:00Norv Turner has been one of the most successful co...Norv Turner has been one of the most successful coaches over the past three years with the San Diego Chargers. He was hired at 54 years old, had been the head coach of two previous NFL teams, and I doubt if when he was an assistant coach (for multiple teams) that he had five seasons where his teams won 50 games. He was considered an excellent offensive coordinator. <br /><br />I doubt if he is the exception that proves the study, rather the study needs more work.<br /><br />SFGAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37421406.post-77073572086231821562010-01-07T10:33:59.192-05:002010-01-07T10:33:59.192-05:00The article refers to "multiple studies,"...The article refers to "multiple studies," but here's my guess as to methodology: Someone threw a bunch of variables into a computer and came out with correlations or beta weights or some such. The dependent variable was probably W-L record and maybe post-season success. What they probably did not do was split the sample, derive the formula from one half and then test it on the other half. The formula may be very good for "predicting" successful coaches in the sample we have, but it's probably less powerful in predicting the performance of future coaches.<br /><br />Two of the items are intuitive, but still it's nice to have statistical confirmation: <br />1. if someone was a good assistant coach, they'll probably be a good head coach<br />2. If someone was fired from more than one head coach position, he's probably not going to do much better with the next team.Jay Livingstonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06652075579940313964noreply@blogger.com